Weekly PicksTrade CalculatorBye PlannerBreak EvensClubs
Morgan Smithies

Morgan Smithies

MID
$345k
bye11/18/26
Raiders
Last Score
21
Wests Tigers
Worst Score
20
Dragons
Top Score
53
Rabbitohs
Season Avg.
33.2
Break Even
39
Top 1000 Ownership %
—
2026 Draw9W/10L
Sea Eagles
MAN
Warriors
WAR
Bulldogs
BUL
Sharks
CRO
Knights
NEW
Rabbitohs
RAB
Storm
MEL
Wests Tigers
WST
Titans
GLD
Panthers
PEN
BYE
BYE
Dolphins
DOL
Cowboys
COW
Roosters
SYD
Eels
PAR
Storm
MEL
Dragons
DRG
BYE
BYE
Bulldogs
BUL
Rabbitohs
RAB
Wests Tigers
WST
Panthers
PEN
Knights
NEW
Sharks
CRO
Broncos
BRO
BYE
BYE
Cowboys
COW
ProjectionsRND 22
Round 22Panthers
30
$335k (-$10k)
Round 23Knights
30
$335k ($0k)
Round 24Sharks
29
$335k ($0k)
Round 25Broncos
28
$335k ($0k)

Morgan Smithies
vs Penrith Panthers

Penrith Panthers
Games Played3
Average Score42
Highest Score50
Lowest Score37
60+ Scores0/3
80+ Scores0/3

Scoring vs Panthers

9 points above his season average of 33.

Above Average

Recent Form vs This Matchup

Last 5 at 26, 16 below his 42 average against them.

Cold Form

Game Time vs Panthers

Averages 54 minutes a game against the Panthers, compared with 42 across the season.

Recent Meetings

Round 10 · 202618-30 L
55 min
37
Round 25 · 202520-16 W
35 min
39
Round 25 · 202422-18 W
72 min
50

Player Signals

RND 22

Points Avg.

21.7 (last 3 rnd) vs. 25.6 (last 5 rnd)

Falling

vs. Break Even

Avg. 33.2 – 6 pts below BE (39)

Below BE

Price Activity

-$142k (season)

Falling

Avg. Minutes Played

34 mins (last 3 rnd) vs. 39 (last 5 rnd)

Decreasing

Player of Difference (POD)

Owned by 0.7% of teams

High POD

Captaincy Ceiling

70+ scores – 0% of games

Low Ceiling

Points Scored

Score vs. Break Even

Score
Break Even

Game Breakdown

Minutes
Weather
Avg. Fantasy Score
33.2
Points / Min
0.79
Tries
0
Try Assists
0
Avg. Run Metres
65.4
Avg. Tackles
27.9
Avg. Tackle Breaks
0.4
Season
RND
Opponent
Score
Price
BE
Pos
Mins
Weather
T
TS
G
FG
TA
LB
LBA
TCK
TB
MT
OF
OFH
OFG
ER
FT
TO
MG
KM
KD
PC
SB
SO
FDO
'26
21
vs Wests Tigers56-10 W
21
$366k-$21k
41
MID
46
—
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
14
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
90
0
0
35
0
0
0
'26
20
vs Rabbitohs
DNP
$366k
'26
19
at Bulldogs
DNP
$366k
'26
18
BYE
'26
17
vs Dragons24-16 W
20
$387k-$21k
38
MID
30
Rain
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
20
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
20
0
0
3
0
0
0
'26
16
at Storm20-42 L
24
$407k-$20k
35
MID
26
Fine
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
24
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
27
0
0
8
0
0
0
'26
15
at Eels12-15 L
31
$428k-$21k
45
MID
43
Fine
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
18
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
90
0
0
42
0
0
0
'26
14
vs Roosters0-26 L
32
$447k-$19k
50
MID
51
Fine
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
34
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
44
0
0
18
0
0
0
'26
13
vs Cowboys26-12 W
22
$468k-$21k
43
MID
38
Fine
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
21
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
73
0
0
28
0
0
0
'26
12
vs Dolphins22-30 L
32
$481k-$13k
38
MID
35
Fine
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
30
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
61
0
0
20
0
0
0
'26
11
BYE
'26
10
vs Panthers18-30 L
37
$477k+$4k
33
MID
55
Fine
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
39
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
58
0
0
22
0
0
0
'26
9
at Titans28-12 W
43
$468k+$9k
40
MID
59
Fine
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
38
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
96
0
0
44
0
0
0
'26
8
at Wests Tigers14-33 L
42
$466k+$2k
35
MID
53
Fine
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
38
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
73
0
0
24
0
0
0
'26
7
vs Storm26-22 W
29
$469k-$3k
32
MID
39
Fine
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
21
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
109
0
0
41
0
0
0
'26
6
at Rabbitohs36-34 W
53
$461k+$8k
43
MID
58
Fine
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
40
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
98
0
0
42
0
0
0
'26
5
at Knights12-32 L
28
$476k-$15k
39
MID
34
Fine
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
28
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
44
0
0
14
0
0
0
'26
4
vs Sharks22-34 L
40
$483k-$7k
47
MID
42
Fine
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
31
1
4
1
0
0
1
0
0
37
0
0
17
0
0
0
'26
3
vs Bulldogs10-14 L
36
$489k-$6k
44
MID
28
Rain
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
27
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
32
0
0
13
0
0
0
'26
2
at Warriors6-40 L
31
$493k-$4k
37
MID
37
Rain
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
29
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
29
0
0
8
0
0
0
'26
1
at Sea Eagles29-28 W
43
$487k+$6k
39
MID
42
Rain
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
22
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
131
0
0
43
0
0
0

Showing 21 of 70 games

Top MID Players

View top MID players

Top Raiders Players

View all players

Morgan Smithies
Fantasy Summary

How many fantasy points does Morgan Smithies average?

Morgan Smithies is averaging 33 fantasy points from 17 games for the Canberra Raiders this season. His top score for the year is 70 and he scored 21 in his most recent game.

Over his last three games he has averaged 22, playing an average of 34 minutes. Across the season he is averaging 28 tackles and 65 run metres a game.

What is Smithies's break even?

Smithies's break even is 39, at a current price of $345k. A break even is the score a player needs to reach for his price to hold. Scores above it push the price up and scores below it pull the price down.

He has averaged 22 over his last three games, so on current form he is falling short of that mark and his price is under pressure.

Is Smithies worth trading in?

Smithies has averaged 22 over his last three games, below his break even of 39. His price is likely to fall while that continues, so coaches who wait may get him cheaper than his current price.

The charts above show his full price, score and break even history for the season, and the game log breaks down where his points are coming from.

How much does Smithies cost in NRL Fantasy?

Smithies is priced at $345k in NRL Fantasy. His starting price this season was $487k and he has fallen $142k since.

Players at that price are usually picked for price growth rather than their week to week scoring. He is currently owned by 1% of NRL Fantasy teams.

Who does Smithies play next?

Smithies and the Canberra Raiders next face the Penrith Panthers in Round 22. He scored 37 fantasy points when the two sides met earlier this season.

After that the Canberra Raiders have the Newcastle Knights and then the Cronulla Sharks.