Canterbury Bulldogs vs Manly Sea Eagles - Round 16, 2026
The result
Manly led 8 to 6 at halftime behind Lehi Hopoate's seventh minute try, and still held the lead at 12 to 10 before Stephen Crichton's 83rd minute field goal lifted the Bulldogs to a 13 to 12 win at Accor Stadium. That margin, one point, was as close as the Sea Eagles came after the break.
How it unfolded
Manly had the better of the territory battle, making 1762 run metres to Canterbury's 1683 and forcing 5 penalties to the Bulldogs' 3. The Bulldogs made up for it in the ruck, with 386 tackles made against Manly's 348, though they also leaked 34 missed tackles to Manly's 24.
Against projection
Connor Tracey scored 54 against a projection of 28, and Josh Curran added 54 against his own projection of 37, both well clear of expectation. Kobe Hetherington managed only 10 from a projection of 36 in 11 minutes, while Max King was held to 44 minutes despite reaching 50 points.
Price moves
Jacob Kiraz rose $36,000 after scoring 53 against a break even of 16, and Jason Saab rose $16,000 with 35 against a break even of 19. Tom Trbojevic fell $38,000 despite his 54 points, well shy of an 83 break even, and Jamal Fogarty fell $19,000 even after scoring 60.
Ownership outcome
Haumole Olakau'atu top scored for Manly with 61 from 83 minutes, close to his projection of 64. Tolutau Koula returned 59 points off two try assists against a projection of just 40, a return that will have surprised coaches who held him at modest expectations.
