Brisbane Broncos vs St George Illawarra Dragons - Round 13, 2026
The result
The Dragons led 14 to 2 at halftime and had to survive a Broncos rally that closed to within 4 points before holding on, 30 to 26, at Suncorp Stadium. Valentine Holmes opened the scoring in the 6th minute and finished with another late in the second half as St George Illawarra's fast start proved just enough.
How it unfolded
The Dragons completed at 81 percent to the Broncos' 68 percent, a gap that let them control the ball when it mattered. Brisbane hit back with 6 line breaks to the Dragons' 3, though it was St George Illawarra who made 36 tackle breaks to the Broncos' 28.
Against projection
Xavier Willison scored 75 against a projection of 35 and Mathew Feagai returned 54 against a projection of 16, both well clear of expectations. Patrick Carrigan missed his projection of 55 by 28, finishing with 27 from just 42 minutes after being named to start.
Price moves
Ryan Couchman rose $32,000 after scoring 62 against a break even of 34, and Daniel Atkinson rose $28,000 with 59 against a break even of 30. On the other side, Reece Walsh fell $37,000 after scoring 45 against a break even of 78, and Payne Haas fell $27,000 despite his 79, with a break even of 93.
Ownership outcome
Adam Reynolds, a mainstay in most fantasy sides, returned 44 against a projection of 35. Jesse Arthars, far less owned, scored 40 with two tries, a result that would have stood out for the coaches who carried him.
